If one step is much slower than the others, it acts as a bottleneck. Under a valid bottleneck approximation, begin with the slow step’s elementary rate law and eliminate any intermediate before comparing with the observed law. When the slow step is first, the prediction is immediate because only reactants appear in it.
If the slow elementary step is 2 NO₂ → NO₃ + NO, its event rate is k₁[NO₂]². A subsequent rapid NO₃ + CO → NO₂ + CO₂ cancels NO₃ and one NO₂, giving net NO₂ + CO → NO + CO₂. The resulting prediction is second order in NO₂ and zero order in CO under this approximation, even though CO appears in the net equation. Net stoichiometry alone cannot produce that prediction.
If the slow step contains an intermediate, its elementary law is only a starting point. You must eliminate the intermediate through a justified earlier equilibrium or another kinetic approximation. Merely circling the slow step does not finish the derivation. On a multipeak energy diagram, compare a barrier from its preceding well, rather than declaring the highest absolute peak automatically rate controlling under every condition.